13-01-2013, 05:26 AM
Having watched Lilov's video in its entirety (1 hour 10 minutes) I have almost no doubt that Ivanov was cheating. The game David gives above is a perfect example of engine chess, and his engine match-up is so ridiculously consistent in almost all of his other games that I can't think of any other explanation.
Rather than working out the probability of a 2200 player achieving a 2600+ result, which we know can happen though it's very unusual, it would be revealing to know the probability that a 2200 player could mirror Houdini 2's (rated about 3100) first choice over 95% of the time? I'd guess we're in the realms of lottery numbers (10 million to 1).
When you look at his results and games prior to his last 2 tournaments, it's beyond reasonable doubt in my opinion that this is not the same player.
Rather than working out the probability of a 2200 player achieving a 2600+ result, which we know can happen though it's very unusual, it would be revealing to know the probability that a 2200 player could mirror Houdini 2's (rated about 3100) first choice over 95% of the time? I'd guess we're in the realms of lottery numbers (10 million to 1).
When you look at his results and games prior to his last 2 tournaments, it's beyond reasonable doubt in my opinion that this is not the same player.